Click the arrow to expand 2022 RBC Canadian Open odds via BetMGM
2022 RBC Canadian Open Odds
|Harold Varner III||+3300|
|Rafa Cabrera Bello||+30000|
|Bo Van Pelt||+50000|
|Dawie van der Walt||+50000|
|Jared du Toit||+75000|
|Richard S. Johnson||+100000|
For the first time in three years, the PGA TOUR is north of the border.
Five of the top 10 players in the world are in Ontario for the RBC Canadian Open, including defending champion (since 2019) Rory McIlroy. The first two big winners of 2022 are at the top of the odds table, with Scottie Scheffler being favored slightly by Justin Thomas.
St. George’s Golf & Country Club is a short course, but it looks like it will present a tough test for players ahead of the US Open. Expect the roughs to be penalizing and the greens fast.
Our GolfBet team of editors have gone through the odds table this week, which seems a bit heavy without much depth.
They are identified their favorite betting picks for the week. Check them out below.
Brendon Todd—Top 10 (+700)
Jason Sobel: Todd is like Halley’s comet from the PGA TOUR, which doesn’t mean he only comes around every 76 years. When it shows up, however, you don’t want to miss it.
At the end of 2019, he became the best player in the world for a month with two wins and a fourth place, rising from the top 500 to 72nd before Thanksgiving dinner. Since then, he hasn’t finished a single top-five finish…until two weeks ago, when he broke into the Charles Schwab standings with a third-place finish.
There aren’t too many options where we can focus on a short-travel specialist these days, but Todd fills that role perfectly, ranking 201st in driving distance and fifth in driving precision this season.
Sam Burns—Top 5 (+450)
Chris Murphy: I’m escaping a bit here as I’m not sure where I want to bite the bullet at the top this week. I have much more interest in taking one or two of the best names than throwing darts down this hastily falling field.
Sam Burns is one of the top three or four that I’d like to consider an outright, but with his chances of being a teenager, I probably won’t. I found decent value in this top 5 placement on FanDuel.
Burns has shown he has a strong advantage with his three wins this season and three other top 10s. He did some of that damage in the fall swing and if you knock out some of the elite at the top of that pack, this one- this is not very different from what we see in the fall.
We tend to devalue players after a win when they’re clearly in great shape to claim that win, and in two of his three TOUR wins he’s recorded a top 14 finish, including a second-place finish.
Strange as it may sound, I think Burns would be more popular this week if he didn’t win at Charles Schwab. The fit of the course seems to suit him just fine, where his early struggles are mitigated and where he can take advantage of his solid approach and striking game.
Matt Fitzpatrick +2000
matt vincent: Last week, Matt Fitzpatrick missed the number cut at the Memorial. Some people may see the dreaded “MC” when checking their recent form and get scared, but not all missed cuts can be treated the same.
In Fitzpatrick’s case, it was an extreme putting abnormality that was responsible for his unusually short week. The Englishman lost 7.6 strokes in two rounds, making it the worst performance of his career (in just two rounds!). There were no problems with the rest of his game, as he gained 6.5 shots from tee to green.
Prior to the Memorial, Fitzpatrick played excellent golf. In his last ten starts, the 27-year-old has seven top-15 finishes. Also, the last time Fitz missed a cut was at RBC Heritage. He then finished second at Wells Fargo the following week.
St. George’s should suit Fitzpatrick just fine.
Accuracy will be paramount on this golf course, both off the tee and on the approach. The fairways are tree-lined and narrow, which is the type of layout Fitzpatrick has thrived on throughout his career. In his last 24 rounds he has placed third in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and has the perfect combination of distance and accuracy to make this track much more manageable.
It’s no secret that Fitzpatrick has struggled to win on the PGA TOUR. Maybe leaving the United States for an event north of the border is just what he needs to overcome the difficulty.
Rory McIlroy—Top 10 (+120)
Landon Silinsky: McIlroy is the defending champion at this event, which was played on a different course three years ago, but is still outstanding. He finished a ho-hum 18th at the Memorial, where he lost strokes with his irons on Saturday and Sunday. Before that, the Irishman was in full swing, posting a second-place finish at Augusta, followed by a T5 and a T8 at Wells Fargo and the PGA Championship.
McIlroy is this champ’s class and ranks No. 1 in Strokes Gained: Ball-Striking and No. 2 in Strokes Gained: Total both in his previous 48 rounds. He wouldn’t show up in Canada a week after playing at Memorial with the US Open a week later if he wasn’t going to give it his all.
Outside of the top of the table, this field is extremely poor. I believe Rory could sleepwalk to the top 10 here, so I’ll gladly take more money.
Chris Kirk +5000
Derek Farnsworth: I was ready to write Patrick Reed to +6500, but that number is no longer available – nor is Reed. Instead, I’m going to pivot to Chris Kirk.
We don’t consider Kirk an elite ball pilot, but he’s won shots off the tee in 14 consecutive events. While he lost on approach last week at Muirfield Village, he had won on approach in each of his previous 10 starts.
On top of that, he is one of the best on TOUR around the green. He’s been one of the top 10 machines this season, and it would be a great story to see him back in the winner’s circle after all he’s been through in recent years.
I love the fit of the course, I love the trend of his game and I love the +5000 odds. Since we don’t have common lanes in the United States, I confirm this bet with a top five on FanDuel at +950.
Matt Fitzpatrick—Top 20 (-115)
Bryan Berryman: From a tee-to-green perspective, Fitzpatrick went according to plan last week at Memorial. He hit over 70% of his fairways and placed seventh in the field in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green in the first two rounds.
Unfortunately, he paired his magnificent tee to green with his worst putting performance of his entire career, dropping 7.5 strokes to the greens en route to a missed cut.
This week, St. George’s will be laid out in a relatively similar fashion. Although it won’t play as long as Muirfield Village, there are numerous reports that the course is being set up as a ‘US Open prep’ course, given where it landed. on the PGA TOUR schedule. This will result in fast greens and thick roughs waiting for any wayward tee shots, emphasizing accuracy from tee to green.
This sets up perfectly for Fitzpatrick, who ranks first in this area in Bogey Avoidance, while placing in the top 30 in Fairways Gained and Strokes Gained: Approach over the last 24 laps. He’s a solid and reliable player from tee to green, having finished in the top 20 in seven of his 10 total starts this year. Assuming his putting performance last week was an anomaly, I love his chances of making the top 20 this week.