TENNIS

Wimbledon 2022 Tennis Picks, Odds, Predictions & Best Betting Picks

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This item is part of our Tennis Picks series.

The 2022 edition of Wimbledon has already become remarkable even before the players have entered the court due to the back and forth between Wimbledon and the ATP/WTA. For those who didn’t follow, Wimbledon banned all Russian and Belarusian players from participating, and the men’s and women’s tennis associations responded to this perceived injustice by stripping Wimbledon of ranking points. Between the significant prize money — a first-round loss in the main draw still nets $50,000 — and the prestige that comes with winning a Grand Slam, all healthy and eligible players still plan to compete in the major on turf, although their ranking will not be affected by their results here.

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Notable players who will have to sit out following the Wimbledon decision are Daniil Medvedev, Andrey Rublev, Karen Khachanov and Aslan Karatsev on the men’s side, as well as Aryna Sabalenka, Victoria Azarenka, Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, Daria Kasatkina and a bunch of less. leading players. Other absentees due to injuries include Alexander Zverev (ankle), Roger Federer (knee) and Naomi Osaka (Achilles). Other notable players have question marks hanging over their heads as the tournament approaches. That group includes Rafael Nadal, who says he intends to play despite a foot injury that required a nerve-numbing agent during the French Open. Emma Raducanu (ribs) had planned to play at Eastbourne before Wimbledon but has since pulled out, raising further questions about her health, while Jannik Sinner (knee) is expected to be ready to play at Eastbourne and Wimbledon. Andy Murray suffered an abdominal injury in the Stuttgart final earlier this month but will hope to recover in time to compete in his home slam. Additionally, Serena Williams is set to play competitive singles for the first time since tearing her hamstring at Wimbledon last year.

Now that we’ve covered who’s in and who’s out, it’s time to get down to business. The men’s team has a prohibitive betting favorite, but that player only has one title in 2022, so there’s great value to be found among the secondary favorites. There is also a female favourite, who won 35 consecutive matches before this tournament, but has not proven herself on grass. If any of these players falter – and chances are at least one of them will – there are plenty of capable alternatives ready to seize the opportunity. After each player’s name, you’ll see their title odds from DraftKings Sportsbook (DK), FanDuel Sportsbook (FD), BetMGM Sportsbook (BetMGM), and Caesars Sportsbook (Caesars) in that order. Odds can vary widely, especially for long shots, so you are encouraged to seek out the best lines if you have access to multiple betting platforms. FanDuel in particular has juicy odds.

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Favorite

Novak Djokovic [DK: (-125), FD: (-130), BetMGM: (-125), Caesars: (-120)] – Djokovic has won Wimbledon six times, including each of the last three times it’s been held, immersing himself in conversation with Roger Federer and Pete Sampras as one of the greatest grass-court players of all time. With Djokovic’s unvaccinated status possibly making him ineligible to compete at the US Open later this year, Wimbledon could represent his last chance to win a Grand Slam in 2022 and avoid being held without one for just the second calendar year since 2010. prevent a motivated Djokovic from retaining the Wimbledon crown? The forced layoff which included missing the Australian Open has clearly hurt the 35-year-old’s form, and Djokovic has gone just 3-3 against top 10 opponents since his return. His aura of invincibility is gone, so it’s a bit of a surprise to see Djokovic as a heavier favorite here than Iga Swiatek was for the Women’s French Open. He’s still the man to beat but I’d put the rest of the field even or better against Djokovic, even without the Russians.

In the mix

Rafael Nadal [DK: (+650), FD: (+600), BetMGM: (+650), Caesars: (+650)] – Nadal is halfway through a calendar year Grand Slam, and it will be tough at Wimbledon if his body holds up. The grass becomes more worn and favorable to Rafa’s game as the tournament progresses, so it will be important to watch Nadal’s draw. If he can avoid an early pitfall when the grass is slippery and more difficult to advance, Nadal should warm up in the middle rounds and put himself in contention for a third Wimbledon title. Nadal’s only defeat when not noticeably hampered by injury in 2022 came against Carlos Alcaraz [DK: (+800), FD: (+1000), BetMGM: (+800), Caesars: (+700)]who just missed the cut for this category due to his lack of proven Grand Slam or grass-court results.

Matteo Berretini [DK: (+600), FD: (+700), BetMGM: (+550), Caesars: (+550)] – Grass courts tend to favor players derisively called service bots, and Berrettini is the most efficient player of this archetype currently on the circuit. There’s no doubt the serve is the 11th-ranked Italian’s greatest weapon, but Berrettini’s ability to slice the backhand to complement his big forehand allows him to be more effective in grass rallies compared to other surfaces. Since returning from a hand injury, the 2021 Wimbledon runner-up has gone 9-0 en route to titles at Stuttgart and Queen’s Club, both on grass.

Sleepers

Hubert Hurkacz [DK: (+1400), FD: (+1800), BetMGM: (+1400), Caesars: (+1200)] – Hurkacz has some serious turf deals. He is the only player to serve a bagel to Federer at Wimbledon, having done so in the quarter-finals last year before falling in the semis. A grass-court title in Halle just propelled the Pole into the top 10, and Hurkacz is an excellent player at 6ft 5in, giving his game more depth beyond serve and serve plus one (using serve to set up a winner on the next move).

Nick Kyrgios [DK: (+2000), FD: (+2600), BetMGM: (+1400), Caesars: (+1800)] – Kyrgios and Roland-Garros semi-finalist Marin Cilic [DK: (+2000), FD: (+3000), BetMGM: (+2000), Caesars: (+2000)] are two tantalizing options in this odds range, but the enigmatic Aussie gets the slight edge between these two big servers. He has already beaten Nadal at Wimbledon and is 2-0 against Djokovic head to head, as well as a respectable 3-6 against Nadal on aggregate. Keeping his focus for seven games in a row is a feat that has eluded Kyrgios before, but he claims he has matured at 27, even though his antics on the pitch seem to say otherwise. Ultimately, winning the title might be too much of a task, but I’d bet on Kyrgios to upset Djokovic if they clash.

WOMEN

Favorite

Iga Swiatek [DK: (+150), FD: (+155), BetMGM: (+150), Caesars: (+150)] – We’re one Swiatek loss away from the women’s draw, and frankly, the pitch looks a lot more appetizing against the dominant world No. 1 here than it did at Roland Garros. Not only is winning the Roland-Garros-Wimbledon double extremely difficult due to the proximity of these two Grand Slam tournaments, but Swiatek will also go from her favorite surface, clay, to her least favorite, the grass. The 21-year-old world No. 1 is just 4-4 in her career on grass, and although she is now a better player than she was in her previous forays at the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club, Swiatek’s decision to bypass the grass-court tournament preparation after winning Roland Garros could prove costly.

In the mix

Ons Jabeur [DK: (+1100), FD: (+1400), BetMGM: (+1000), Caesars: (+1200)] – Jabeur’s surprise first-round exit at Roland Garros is an outlier, as she has otherwise played phenomenal tennis in her last four tournaments, winning two and falling to Swiatek in the final of the other . The Tunisian, ranked third, quietly has one of the most effective serves on the circuit, and the variety of her game allows Jabeur to be effective on all surfaces. Specifically when it comes to grass, Jabeur might have the most effective slice on the WTA Tour now that reigning Wimbledon champion Ashleigh Barty is retired. Having won a grass-court title in Berlin, Jabeur offers great value for her modest title odds, especially as she beat Swiatek at Wimbledon last year en route to the quarter-finals.

Coco Gauff [DK: (+900), FD: (+1000), BetMGM: (+1000), Caesars: (+1000)] – Gauff is growing before our eyes and is the bettors’ second favorite to win the title, although far behind Swiatek. The 18-year-old American followed her loss to Swiatek in the French Open championship game with a semi-final result on the grass courts of Berlin, where she lost to Jabeur. The key to beating other top court players for Gauff will be her serve, as she can get free points on her first serve but has one of the most vulnerable second serves among top players.

Sleepers

Beatriz Haddad Maia [DK: (N/A), FD: (+3200), BetMGM: (N/A), Caesars: (+2500)] – The odds of Haddad Maia winning aren’t even published in some sportsbooks, meaning she should be a substantial long shot when she’s finally added. No one has been hotter this season on grass than the 26-year-old Brazilian, who cracked the top 30 with back-to-back titles on the surface. After winning at Nottingham and Birmingham, Haddad Maia will look to continue playing at Wimbledon.

Petra Kvitova [DK: (+2500), FD: (+5500), BetMGM: (+2000), Caesars: (+2500)] -Serena Williams [DK: (+1600), FD: (+1800), BetMGM: (+1400), Caesars: (+1600)] is also an obvious sleeper, but there’s a lot of work to do against Williams who just left a year at 40 and suffered a mental block in Grand Slam championship games before his injury. Instead, let’s look to another multi-time Wimbledon champion in Kvitova. Maybe there’s something about the untrodden grass that bothers left-handers, as Kvitova had some early upheaval at Wimbledon but tends to heat up as the tournament goes on, all like Nadal. In 13 previous Wimbledon appearances, Kvitova’s mode result is a first-round loss. Tied for second at two apiece? Second-round losses, quarter-final losses and titles. The 32-year-old Czech has had an unforgettable season and is barely seeded at this stage, but Kvitova has been there before and is one of the few players on the WTA Tour capable of playing her best grass tennis.

Sasha’s Wimbledon Predictions

On the men’s side, it’s still Djokovic’s tournament to lose, but whether he retains the title depends more on his draw and the form of his opponents than it has in recent years. Betting on Nadal at the Grand Slam has been a winning strategy in 2022, and you’ll be hard-pressed to find better value in the men’s draw than Nadal at his current odds if his treatment regime indeed works on his foot. If you can find a Djokovic and Nadal bet against the pitch, lock in the two all-time greats. After all, such a bet would have won for each of the last 12 Grand Slam tournaments in which Djokovic and Nadal have played, going back more than four years.

It’s Swiatek against the rest of the women’s field, just like Roland Garros, but I expect the field to come out on top this time. Something about Jabeur’s recent form and how his game adapts to the grass makes it a tempting bet, and your spare change is better spent on a small bet on Haddad Maia than under the cushions of your sofa.

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