Wimbledon Day 8 Men’s Round of 16 Odds & Picks (July 4)


Rafael Nadal during a ceremony at Wimbledon

July 3, 2022; London, UK; On the first mid-game Sunday, Wimbledon celebrates 100 years since its move to Church Road and the centenary of Center Court. The former champions were on the court for this special ceremony on day seven at the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club. Pictured: Simona Halep (ROU), Stefan Edberg, Rafael Nadal ESP, Petra Kvitova (CZE) and Rod Laver. Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane – USA TODAY Sports

  • Nick Kyrgios is in the spotlight as the quarter-finalists in the bottom half of the singles draw are determined
  • Monday’s round of 16 could well be determined in straight sets
  • Below see Wimbledon round of 16 odds and picks plus a two set bet with a huge payout

Will Nick Kyrgios behave on Monday at Wimbledon? More importantly, will he win and qualify for the quarter-finals? Kyrgios heads into the Round of 16 as a -335 favorite against Brandon Nakashima. The odds for Monday’s matches are listed below, followed by today’s best bets.


Wimbledon men’s round of 16 odds

Matchups Odds
[19] Alex de Minaur (AUS) against Cristian Garin (CHI) -560/+430
Brandon Nakashima (USA) vs Nick Kyrgios (Australia) +270/-335
[Q] Jason Kubler (AUS) against. [11] Taylor Fritz (USA) +350/-455
[21] Botic van de Zandschulp (NED) against. [2] Rafael Nadal (ESP) +500/-670

Odds as of July 3 on Barstool Sportsbook.

Nick Kyrgios’ odds of winning Wimbledon were +1800 before the tournament started.

He is now the +700 third seed and -162 to win his quarter. When you consider the other options are Alex de Minaur, Cristian Garin and his Monday opponent Brandon Nakashima, that seems about right.

You would expect his semi-final opponent, if successful, to be Rafael Nadal, which would be a blockbuster.

Brandon Nakashima vs Nick Kyrgios Prediction

The only person likely to beat Kyrgios in this game is Kyrgios himself.

His third-round match against Stefanos Tsitsipas was…controversial, to say the least. But Nakashima is so deadpan and soft on the pitch that he certainly won’t produce water for Kyrgios’ mill.

Will it help him or hurt him? Well, that will probably help him; he could use a break from the drama ahead of the potentially huge week two games ahead.

It’s also in his interest, since his body can collapse, to do it in three sets.

Whatever you think of him, he really wants to win this Wimbledon.

Choice: Kyrgios in three sets (+160)

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Jason Kubler vs Taylor Fritz Prediction

Kubler, qualified, has already experienced the Grand Slam tournament of his life since he took advantage of a good draw.

He beat No. 28 seed Dan Evans in straight sets. Then he met two other qualifiers: Dennis Novak (victory in four) then Jack Sock. Sock is a former top 10 player and two-time Wimbledon doubles champion. So not your typical qualifier.

But the American has been absent a lot in recent years. And the record of a run to the Ilkley final, then qualifying, then singles, doubles and mixed at Wimbledon meant he was running out of steam in Kubler’s five-set victory.

Meanwhile, Fritz walked through the draw quietly, not dropping a set in three matches. And only two of those sets even went to a tiebreaker.

He is not the most graceful player nor the most accomplished volleyball player. But he hits the serve and the groundies and is a threat to anyone on the day.

Fritz must watch the draw and think it’s a serious opportunity for a deep run, although he’ll probably have to try his luck against Nadal in the quarter-finals.

Picks: Fritz in three sets (+108) and games under 33.5 (+135)

Alex de Minaur vs Cristian Garin Prediction

Garin, best known for his work on the red clay of his native Chile, was not expected to be in week two, especially as he was drawn to face 2021 finalist Matteo Berrettini in the first round.

But Berrettini was a late scratch because of COVID. And then the Chilean had a nice draw – two lucky losers in a row to start. After that, he brought in No. 28 seed Jenson Brooksby, who is a grass neophyte and did a great job just to make it to the third round. Garin only lost one set.

De Minaur, seeded No.19, could have quietly made it through to week two, except for the fact that he faced the Brits in the second and third rounds.

(He is also dating a Brit, Katie Boulter).

This therefore earned him major legal missions. And although he has dashed hopes at home – twice – he is quite a popular guy around the All-England Club.

It’s a great opportunity for him to qualify for the quarter-finals. And his movement around the pitch is his big advantage over Garin. The Chilean doesn’t have a big serve either, which will allow de Minaur to enter the rally and take control.

De Minaur is 3-0 against Garin. And that includes a 6-3, 6-3 win just two weeks ago at Eastbourne on grass.

This should be another fairly routine victory.

Pick: de Minaur in three sets (+108)

If you want an interesting tennis bet, take from Minaur, Fritz and Kyrgios to win in straight sets; this will give you odds of +1109.

Stephanie Myles

sports editor

sports editor